María Gabriela Cueva Jiménez, Ronny Correa-Quezada, Ana Tulcanaza Prieto, Lucía Cueva Rodríguez
La presente investigación analiza la relación entre el gasto militar y crecimiento económico ecuatoriano, para el periodo 1960-2019, mediante técnicas econométricas de cointegración (pruebas de la traza, valor propio máximo, prueba de límites) y de causalidad. Las diferentes pruebas de cointegración sugieren que no existe una relación de equilibrio a largo plazo entre las variables de interés. En términos de causalidad, se encuentra una relación unidireccional desde el crecimiento económico hacia el gasto militar. No se evidencia causalidad en sentido contrario y bidireccional. This research analyzes the relationship between military spending and Ecuadorian economic growth, for the period 1960-2019, using econometric cointegration techniques (trace tests, maximum eigenvalue, limits test) and causality. The different cointegration tests suggest that there is no long-term equilibrium relationship between the variables of interest. In terms of causality, a unidirectional relationship is found from economic growth to military spending. There is no evidence of causality in the opposite and bidirectional direction.
This research analyzes the relationship between military spending and Ecuadorian economic growth, for the period 1960-2019, using econometric cointegration techniques (trace tests, maximum eigenvalue, limits test) and causality. The different cointegration tests suggest that there is no long-term equilibrium relationship between the variables of interest. In terms of causality, a unidirectional relationship is found from economic growth to military spending. There is no evidence of causality in the opposite and bidirectional direction.
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