Causal Explanation in Theories of Probabilistic Causation

• Autores: Tim De Craecker
• Localización: VII Conference of the Spanish Society for Logic, Methodology and Philosophy of Science: Santiago de Compostela, Spain, 18-20 July 2012 / Sociedad de Lógica, Metodología y Filosofía de la Ciencia en España (aut.), Concepción Martínez Vidal (dir. congr.), José L. Falguera López (dir. congr.), José Miguel Sagüillo Fernández-Vega (dir. congr.), Víctor Martín Verdejo Aparicio (dir. congr.), Martín Pereira Fariña (dir. congr.), 2012, ISBN 978-84-9887-939-1, págs. 389-395
• Idioma: inglés
• Enlaces
  • Texto Completo Libro  1    2  
• Resumen

  • Ellery Eells introduced the notion of a probability trajectory in the analysis of singular causation. In this paper this notion is further refined in a probabilistic counterfactual framework and related to the work of Jack Good on probabilistic causation. When the search for a causal explanation of an event is motivated by more specific aims, the probabilistic approach is able to select the relevant causes in the causal history of the event, because of its quantitative nature.