Comment: Laplace and Cognitive Illusions

• Daniel Kahneman ^[1] ; Maya Bar-Hillel ^[2]
  1. [1] Princeton University

     Princeton University

     Estados Unidos

     
  2. [2] Hebrew University
• Localización: Statistical science, ISSN 0883-4237, Vol. 35, Nº. 2, 2020, págs. 171-172
• Idioma: inglés
• Texto completo no disponible (Saber más ...)
• Resumen

  • Reports in the 1970s of cognitive illusions in judgments of uncertainty had been anticipated by Laplace 150 years earlier. We discuss Miller and Gelman’s remark that Laplace’s anticipation of the main ideas of the heuristics and biases approach “gives us a new perspective on these ideas as more universal and less contingent on particular developments [that came much] later.”