Resumen de ¿Tienen las identificaciones policiales efectos preventivos en la delincuencia?
- español
Uno de los temas principales respecto a las paradas policiales en la literatura comparada es si estas cumplen con los objetivos que les marca la legislación. En España, la ley dispone que las identificaciones policiales deben buscar la detección y la prevención de delitos. Mientras que anteriores estudios en España han establecido que la efectividad de las identificaciones para la detección de infracciones es baja, no se ha realizado en nuestro contexto investigaciones sobre la capacidad preventiva de las identificaciones. Esta investigación pretende determinar si las identificaciones tienen efectos preventivos en la delincuencia. Para ello se han recolectado datos longitudinales de identificaciones y delitos registrados por los Mossos d’Esquadra en Cataluña agregados por Áreas Básicas Policiales de forma mensual entre enero de 2012 y diciembre de 2016. El análisis de los datos se ha realizado mediante modelos de regresión de efectos fijos con desfases de 1, 2 y 3 meses. Los resultados sugieren que las identificaciones pueden tener efectos preventivos en los delitos contra la propiedad, aunque también predicen aumentos en los delitos contra la salud pública. Para el resto de tipologías delictivas no se encuentran relaciones significativas. A key topic in international literature about police stops is if they meet their stated goals. In Spain, the law provide that ID checks should seek detection and prevention of infractions. While previous studies in Spain have found that the effectiveness of ID checks in detecting infractions is low, no research on their preventive effects has been done. The current work is aimed to determine the preventive potential of ID checks on crime. For this purpose longitudinal data about recorded ID checks and crime by Mossos d’Esquadra in Catalonia have been collected at Police Basic Areas and monthly aggregated between January 2012 and December 2016. The analysis of the data has been done through fixed effects regression models with lags of 1, 2 and 3 months. Results suggest that ID checks can have preventive effects on property crimes but they predict increases in drug crimes. There are no significative relationships with the other kind of crimes.
- English
A key topic in international literature about police stops is if they meet their stated goals. In Spain, the law provide that ID checks should seek detection and prevention of infractions. While previous studies in Spain have found that the effectiveness of ID checks in detecting infractions is low, no research on their preventive effects has been done. The current work is aimed to determine the preventive potential of ID checks on crime. For this purpose longitudinal data about recorded ID checks and crime by Mossos d'Esquadra in Catalonia have been collected at Police Basic Areas and monthly aggregated between January 2012 and December 2016. The analysis of the data has been done through fixed effects regression models with lags of 1, 2 and 3 months. Results suggest that ID checks can have preventive effects on property crimes but they predict increases in drug crimes. There are no significative relationships with the other kind of crimes.
