Modelling stakeholders’ preferences to pinpoint conflicts in the planning of transboundary protected areas

Mónica de Castro Pardo ^[1] ; Fernando Pérez Rodríguez ^[4] ; José María Martín-Martín ^[2] ; João Azevedo ^[3]
1. [1] Universidad Rey Juan Carlos
  
  Universidad Rey Juan Carlos
  
  Madrid, España
2. [2] Universidad Internacional de La Rioja
  
  Universidad Internacional de La Rioja
  
  Logroño, España
3. [3] Instituto Politécnico de Bragança
  
  Instituto Politécnico de Bragança
  
  Bragança (Sé), Portugal
4. [4] Föra Forest Technologies, España
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Localización: Land use policy: The International Journal Covering All Aspects of Land Use, ISSN 0264-8377, ISSN-e 1873-5754, Nº. 89, 2019
Idioma: inglés
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Resumen
- In this paper, we propose a sequentially participative model for planning in transboundary protected areas based on the Analytical Hierarchy Process, Goal Programming and Monte Carlo simulation. The model was developed with two scenarios: one determinist and another with simulations that provide a multi-level ranking of the most relevant goals according stakeholders’ preferences to establish priorities in the planning of protected areas. Moreover, the proposed methodology is capable of identifying conflicts, providing a comparison between the most likely priorities and the most consistent group priorities associated with each planning goal. The model was tested in a Portuguese-Spanish Reserve called Meseta Ibérica and it permitted the identification of the highest conflicts in conservation, agroforestry, local development, fire prevention, wildlife conservation and certification of local products. Moreover, it found strong intercountry conflicts related to development and planning goals associated with governance at the most specific level.