Long-Run Price Elasticities of Demand for Credit: Evidence from a Countrywide Field Experiment in Mexico

• Dean Karlan ^[1] ; Jonathan Zinman ^[2]
  1. [1] Northwestern University

     Northwestern University

     Township of Evanston, Estados Unidos

     
  2. [2] Dartmouth College

     Dartmouth College

     Town of Hanover, Estados Unidos

     
• Localización: Review of economic studies, ISSN 0034-6527, Vol. 86, Nº 4, 2019, págs. 1704-1746
• Idioma: inglés
• Texto completo no disponible (Saber más ...)
• Resumen

  • We use randomized interest rates, offered across eighty geographically distinct regions for twenty-nine months by Mexico’s largest microlender, to sketch the adjustment from a price change to a new equilibrium. Demand is elastic, and more so over the longer run; e.g. the dollars-borrowed elasticity increases from −1.1 in Year one to −2.9 in Year three. Credit bureau data do not show evidence of crowd-out, although this and other null results are imprecisely estimated. The lender’s profits increase, albeit noisily, starting in Year two. But competitors do not respond by reducing rates. These findings, together with other results, suggest that informational frictions are important, and that cutting rates furthered Compartamos Banco’s “double bottom line” of improving social welfare subject to a profitability constraint.