Fred Sigernes, M. Dyrland, P. Brekke, Elin Gjengedal, S. Chernouss, D.A. Lorentzen, K. Oksavik, C.S. Deehr
A method to forecast, up to one hour in the future, the size and location of the aurora oval is described. The work is based on a mathematical description of the aurora oval coupled to predicted values of the planetary Kp index. As a result, a real time animation of the oval mapped onto the Earth's surface is created. The night- and dayside are visualized together with the location of the twilight zone as Earth rotates under the aurora oval.
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