The Paris Agreement aspires to limit global warming to 15°C above pre-industrial levels. Climate scientists had estimated that this means we can emit no more than 70 gigatonnes of carbon (GtC) after 2015. At current emission rates, we will pass this threshold by 2022. Now, a study is claiming that we can emit 200 GtC--nearly three times as much, pushing the deadline back to 2035. Here, Le Page finds out whether the team of Joeri Rogelj at the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis in Australia is right.
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