The Logic and Illogic of an Israeli Unilateral Preventive Strike on Iran

• Gil Merom ^[1]
  1. [1] University of Sydney

     University of Sydney

     Australia

     
• Localización: Middle East Journal, ISSN 0026-3141, Vol. 71, Nº. 1, 2017, págs. 87-110
• Idioma: inglés
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• Resumen

  • The Israeli political leadership has invested massively in preparing a credible preventive strike option on Iran's nuclear program. The article assesses this option in the context of Israel's operational acumen and strategic preferences. It points out to a critical gap between the capacity to achieve the operational objectives and the strategic utility of a preventive strike. It then discusses the logical fallacies underlying Israeli leaders' explanations of how this gap would be overcome, assessing the potential downsides of a strike.