Chiwoo Park, Abhishek K. Shrivastava
This article proposes a new method for monitoring changes in geometric profiles of objects, where the geometric profiles may change through various modes in a dynamic process. This work is motivated by the need for monitoring changes in geometric shape and sizes of nanoparticles during their chemical self-assembly process; the changes often occur through many different modes before converging to the final state. The proposed multimode geometric-profile monitoring method addresses three issues specific to this process, all of which have never been addressed together by existing process-monitoring methods — profiling of functional data, monitoring of multimode processes, and monitoring of time-correlated processes. The new profile-monitoring method consists of two phases. In phase I, the authors characterize multiple modes of geometric shape changes under in-control process conditions given a sequence of geometric observations on products. The use of a mixture of time-series models is proposed for this characterization. The article presents an exact Gibbs sampling procedure for Bayesian estimation of model parameters. In phase II, the authors test whether a new observation of product geometries sampled at a certain time in the current process run exhibits significant out-of-control symptoms. A Bayes factor score-based criterion is proposed for this testing. The proposed method is empirically verified using simulated datasets and a real dataset from a nanoparticle self-assembly process.
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