Earnings announcements and systematic risk

• Autores: Pavel Savor, Mungo Wilson
• Localización: The Journal of finance, ISSN 0022-1082, Vol. 71, Nº 1, 2016, págs. 83-138
• Idioma: inglés
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• Resumen

  • Firms scheduled to report earnings earn an annualized abnormal return of 9.9%. We propose a risk-based explanation for this phenomenon, whereby investors use announcements to revise their expectations for nonannouncing firms, but can only do so imperfectly. Consequently, the covariance between firm-specific and market cash flow news spikes around announcements, making announcers especially risky. Consistent with our hypothesis, announcer returns forecast aggregate earnings. The announcement premium is persistent across stocks, and early (late) announcers earn higher (lower) returns. Nonannouncers' response to announcements is consistent with our model, both over time and across firms. Finally, exposure to announcement risk is priced.