Warning signs.

• Autores: Paul B. Stares
• Localización: Foreign Affairs, ISSN 0015-7120, Vol. 94, Nº. 3 (May/Jun2015), 2015, págs. 160-162
• Idioma: inglés
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• Resumen

  • A response to the article "The Calm Before the Storm" by Nassim Nicholas Taleb and Gregory Treverton in the January/February 2015 issue is presented, which explores the factors that make countries unstable or lead them to fail. Topics include state resilience to internal and external shocks; a comparison of factors identified by Taleb and Treverton as signaling collapse in Syria and Lebanon; and a discussion of whether it would be more constructive to analyze the consequences of instability rather than the chances of it occurring, as a way of funneling support to the most strategically important places.