Forest ecosystems, sewage works and droughts � possibilities for climate change adaptation
- Autores: Borbála Gálos, V. Antal, K. Czimber, Csaba Mátyás
- Localización: Riesgos naturales y cambio climático / coord. por Juan Carlos Santamarta Cerezal, Luis E. Hernández Gutiérrez, María Paz Arraiza Bermúdez-Cañete, 2014, ISBN 978-84-617-1060-7, págs. 91-104
- Idioma: español
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Resumen
The aim of this study was to analyze the projected climate tendencies towards the end of the 21st century, the expected climate change impacts as well as the adaptation possibilities in the Carpathian basin. First, the ecological processes are investigated for forest ecosystems, on regional scale. Second, a sewage works has been selected to introduce the local scale impacts and mitigation options.
Based on the results of regional climate model simulations for the Carpathian basin, a significant increase of temperature and a strong decrease (up to 30-35 %) of the summer precipitation sum is projected towards the end of the 21st century. The probability and severity of summer droughts and heavy precipitation events are expected to increase compared to the baseline period 1981-2010. These climatic tendencies can lead to the loss of the climatically suitable area of the vulnerable tree species as well as to growth and production decline and mass mortality events. For sewage works on local scale, the warmer and dryer summer can amplify the decomposition processes and odor emission. The intense precipitation events may result in increase of incoming wastewater amount.
Recommendations have been worked out for both forestry and sewage works including management options, monitoring networks, technological solutions and environmental education. In this way results of the introduced case studies can provide useful information for adaptation and mitigation strategies in all sectors on different spatial and temporal scales.
