Resumen de Simulating farm level response to crop diversification policy
Louis Mahy, Bérénice Elisabeth Therese Ismée Dupeux, Guido Van Huylenbroeck, Jeroen Buysse
One of the new political instruments of the upcoming European Common Agricultural Policy-reform is the crop diversification measure. To comply with this measure, arable farmers will have to grow a minimum number of crops on their land, in given proportions. In this paper a non-parametric simulation model is developed to predict land cover changes while tackling the self-selection problem. Farmers’ behaviour is based on their closest peer‘s behaviour. A comparison between the results on diversity, measured through the Shannon Diversity Index, and the policy impact on farms, shows a clear trade-of and a potential for targeting.
