Sleeping beauty should be imprecise

• Autores: Daniel Jeremy Singer
• Localización: Synthese, ISSN-e 1573-0964, Vol. 191, Nº. 14, 2014, págs. 3159-3172
• Idioma: inglés
• Texto completo no disponible (Saber más ...)
• Resumen

  • The traditional solutions to the Sleeping Beauty problem say that Beauty should have either a sharp 1/3 or sharp 1/2 credence that the coin flip was heads when she wakes. But Beauty's evidence is incomplete so that it doesn't warrant a precise credence, I claim. Instead, Beauty ought to have a properly imprecise credence when she wakes. In particular, her representor ought to assign ....... I show, perhaps surprisingly, that this solution can account for the many of the intuitions that motivate the traditional solutions. I also offer a new objection to Elga's restricted version of the principle of indifference, which an opponent may try to use to collapse the imprecision