Análisis de política agropecuaria mediante la matriz de contabilidad social en una comunidad rural de México

• Autores: Francisco Pérez Soto, Esther Figueroa Hernández, Lucila Godínez Montoya
• Localización: Optimización-Estocástica-Recursiva-Coherente-Sistémica y sus variantes (probabilidad, econometría y estadística aplicada) / coord. por María Ramos, Fernando Miranda Torrado, 2012, ISBN 978-607-00-5902-5, págs. 219-232
• Idioma: español
• Enlaces
  • Texto Completo Libro (pdf)
• Resumen

  • This paper has the purpose of showing how to make agricultural policy analysis in a mexican rural comunity through the account multipliers model associated to the social account matrix, belonging to the researched comunnity. The targed community was the village named La Quemada, located in the municipality of Cuauhtémoc in the mexican state of Chihuahua. Four were the scenarios of agricultural policy evaluated. Namely, support via Procampo, direct support to the agricultural activities, an scenary of regional unemployment, and the evaluation of a five percent increase in the price of the fuels (gasoline and diesel) in La Quemada. The analysis of the three first scenaries showed that the bigger impact on the economy of the studied comunity occurs when a lum sum amount is done to the productive agricultural activities (via purchases of inputs or improvements in the productive process rather than a direct support to the income of the agricultural households). The evaluation of the five percent increase to the fuels showed that, if this were implemented, the village¿s gross domestic product would decrease by a 1.65 percent.