The hierarchies of age-period-cohort research: Political context and the development of generational turnout patterns

• Autores: Kaat Smets, Anja Neundorf
• Localización: Electoral Studies: An international Journal, ISSN 0261-3794, Vol. 33, 2014, págs. 41-51
• Idioma: inglés
• Texto completo no disponible (Saber más ...)
• Resumen

  • Voters that come of age at roughly the same time share common influences because of the specific political context during their formative years. We can therefore assume the errors in a model explaining their political behavior to be dependent. Recent advances in social statistical analysis of age-period-cohort (APC) effects propose the use of hierarchical modeling in combination with repeated cross-sectional survey design to solve this problem. We apply these random-intercept models to assess the impact of the political context on the development of generational turnout patterns, assuming that cohorts that grew up in a highly-politicized context have a higher propensity to turnout to vote despite of any age or period effects.