On the rationality of decisions with unreliable probabilities

• Autores: Fernando Birman
• Localización: Disputatio, ISSN-e 0873-626X, Vol. 3, Nº. 26, 2009, págs. 1-20
• Idioma: inglés
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• Resumen

  • The standard Bayesian recipe for selecting the rational choice is presented.

    A familiar example in which the recipe fails to produce any definite result is introduced. It is argued that a generalization of Gärdenfors� and Sahlin�s theory of unreliable probabilities � which itself does not guarantee a solution to the problem � offers the best available approach.

    But a number of challenges to this approach are also presented and discussed.