Does ticket-splitting decrease the accuracy of recalled previous voting?: Evidence from three German panel surveys

• Autores: Harald Schoen
• Localización: Electoral Studies: An international Journal, ISSN 0261-3794, Vol. 30, Nº. 2, 2011, págs. 358-365
• Idioma: inglés
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• Resumen

  • This paper addresses the role of ticket-splitting in decreasing the accuracy of recalled previous voting. It suggests that ticket-splitting makes recalling vote choice a more difficult task and thus increases recall error. Using data from three German panel surveys conducted from 1998 to 2008, the paper demonstrates that ticket-splitting increases recall error by a considerable margin, even after controlling for behavioral and attitudinal predictors. This finding suggests that recall accuracy is not a stable voter characteristic. It also lends credence to the notion that the increase in ticket-splitting in recent German elections decreased the accuracy of recalled previous voting. Finally, the evidence suggests that electoral systems affect the validity of survey answers concerning previous vote choice.