The potential effects of a change in the distribution of tourism expenditure on employment

Clemente Polo Andrés ^[1] ; Vicente Ramos Pérez (1919-2011) ^[2] ; María Tugores Ques ^[2] ; Elisabeth Valle Valle ^[2] ; Javier Rey-Maquieira Palmer ^[2]
1. [1] Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona
  
  Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona
  
  Barcelona, España
2. [2] Universitat de les Illes Balears
  
  Universitat de les Illes Balears
  
  Palma de Mallorca, España
Localización: Tourism economics: the business and finance of tourism and recreation, ISSN 1354-8166, Vol. 14, Nº. 4, 2008, págs. 709-725
Idioma: inglés
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Resumen
- Many mature tourist destinations are considering replacing low category hotel beds with high category beds. This study estimates the potential effects that these proposals will have on employment, assuming that labour is homogeneous. The methodology used is based on the input'output model and the social accounting matrix, which allow direct, indirect and induced effects to be taken into account. In addition to conventional employment and output multipliers, the paper presents projections for different bed replacement scenarios and analyses the replacement ratios which would allow aggregate gross value added or employment to remain constant. Finally, the analysis extends to include the change of tourist expenditure distribution on complementary tourism facilities.