Analysis of foreign tourism demand for Croatian destinations: long-run elasticity estimates

• Autores: Andrea Mervar, James E. Payne
• Localización: Tourism economics: the business and finance of tourism and recreation, ISSN 1354-8166, Vol. 13, Nº. 3, 2007, págs. 407-420
• Idioma: inglés
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• Resumen

  • Given that tourism is a significant source of export revenues for Croatia, it is vital for policymakers to understand the factors affecting foreign tourism demand for Croatian destinations. This study provides long-run elasticity estimates associated with aggregate foreign tourism demand for Croatian destinations in the period 1994:1� 2004:4 using the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) approach.

    Foreign tourism demand is proxied by the aggregate number of foreign overnight stays in Croatia. The long-run elasticity estimates indicate that tourism demand is positive and highly elastic with respect to the income of tourist-generating countries. Moreover, tourism demand was adversely affected by the political conflicts in the 1990s. The real exchange rate and transportation costs are not statistically significant determinants of foreign tourism demand.