Anastasia Arabadzhyan, Paolo Figini, Carmen García Galindo, Matías M. González Hernández, Yen Elízabeth Lam González, Carmelo Javier León González
Climate change has important effects on the tourism industry, since both thesupply and the demand of tourism services depend upon the quality andmanagement of a set of environmental attributes. Within this framework,this paper has two main goals. It firstly proposes a conceptual framework fordefining the channels of influence of climate change on tourism. This pivotsaround the notion of Impact Chains: a tool representing and summarizing thecomplex relationships between hazards, direct physical impacts, exposureand vulnerability. Secondly, empirical evidence for marine and coastal tourismis provided through a critical review of the available literature and applying avalue transfer approach. Results show a great heterogeneity of findings and thatavailable data do not deal with all the potential impacts of climate change intourism, hence being unsuitable for an integrated approach to risk assessment.Among the potential available impacts, those for which there is empiricalevidence which can be utilized in a value transfer context are the impacts dueto loss of attractiveness of marine environments (species or landscapes), loss ofcomfort due to beach availability reduction, and loss of comfort due to thermalstress and heat waves. Nevertheless, the economic impacts for these threeenvironmental threats are significant, and would imply large reductions in thenumber of tourists visiting tourist destinations and relevant amount of monetarydamages.
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