Efectos económicos regionales de la COVID-19 en los autónomos: El caso de Cantabria

• Autores: Patricia Moreno Mencía, Lidia Sánchez Ruiz, David Cantarero Prieto, Paloma Lanza León, Irene González-Rodríguez
• Localización: Revista de estudios regionales, ISSN 0213-7585, Nº. 126, 2023, págs. 17-53
• Idioma: español
• Títulos paralelos:
  • Regional economic effects of COVID-19 on the self-employed: The case of Cantabria
• Enlaces
  • Texto completo (pdf)
• Resumen
  • español

    El objetivo de este trabajo es analizar y estimar los efectos que la crisis sanitaria desatada por la enfermedad COVID-19 tendrá sobre los trabajadores autónomos en la Comunidad Autónoma de Cantabria a través de la simulación de tres posibles escenarios de contingencia (base, favorable y adverso). Los resultados obtenidos muestran que, si los trabajadores autónomos afectados por las caídas de actividad económica se diesen de baja en la Seguridad Social, esto equivaldría a una caída anual de afiliación estimada en un 2,95% en el escenario base, un 0,43% en el favorable y un 4,48% en el caso más desfavorable.

  • English

    The economic crisis that, as a consequence of the health pandemic, has been unleashed, will affect to a greater extent the weakest groups of our labour market. In this regard, self-employed workers may face a particularly dramatic situation. Thus, due to the lock down measures established to mitigate the advance of the coronavirus, at this time of uncertainty, millions of workers in general, and self-employed in particular, have had to radically reduce their economic activity, paralyzing numerous projects and/or jobs.

    Consequently, their income has been suddenly and indefinitely reduced.

    Given these circumstances, at the present time, it is especially relevant to analyse the effects that COVID-19 is generating on employment and, more particularly, on the group of self-employed workers. Therefore, the objective of this work is to analyse and estimate the effects that the health crisis unleashed by the disease COVID-19 might have on self-employed workers in the Autonomous Community of Cantabria through the simulation of three possible contingency scenarios: base, favourable and adverse.

    The self-employed workers in Cantabria, at the end of April 2020, were 40,603. The data for affiliation of self-employed workers that same month of the previous year stood at 41,515 people, which means an annual fall of 2.2%. This decrease is slightly higher than that which has taken place in the whole of the national territory, where it has stood at 1.7%, which already indicates the degree of impact that the health crisis is having on the business fabric of the region.