Resumen de Investigate the Effect Oil Price Volatility for The Period (2010 -2020) on the Economic Situation Based ARDL Approach
Nagham Hameed Abdulkhudhur Alyaseri, ALI Al Hadi Rasheed Abboud Al Yasiri, Ahmed Albakry
In this study , governments in oil-producing countries rely heavily on oil income to fund their budgets and exert political influence. Increases in government expenditure are a direct result of a surplus of funds, as would be expected from standard economic theory. This is precisely why Extremely high oil prices in 2010and 2020 caused tremendous budgets in the Iraqi economy. Investment, which would have been the primary beneficiary of the government expenditure process, was ignored. They missed a chance to diversify their economies and industries by concentrating solely on leisure and consumption. The progress of the Iraqi economy is unimpeded by a shortage of resources or money. Oil earnings and governmental spending are the primary factors studied due to their close relationship. The sample size was organized , and the data collected was quarterly, which is more timely than annual data. Keeping an eye on it all the way from 2010 till 2020. A quiet test was performed on the series to see if those two factors were present, and the results showed that they were not. As soon as they take the first difference and the graph examination, they find their footing and are able to continue on with the rest of the exams with ease. The right model was chosen, and an autoregressive distributed-lag (ARDL) technique was used..
