Propuesta para la calibración y validación de los análisis y cartografías de peligrosidad y riesgos naturales mediante el estudio de eventos recientes

• Andrés Díez Herrero ^[1] ; R. Baillo Calvo ; I. Gutiérrez Pérez ^[2] ; J. Garrote Revilla ^[4] ; L. Lain Huerta ^[1] ; M.J. Mancebo Mancebo ^[1] ; J.F. Martín Duque ^[3] ; F.L. Pérez Cerdán ^[1]
  1. [1] Instituto Geológico y Minero de España

     Instituto Geológico y Minero de España

     Madrid, España

     
  2. [2] Universidad de Jaén

     Universidad de Jaén

     Jaén, España

     
  3. [3] Universidad Complutense de Madrid

     Universidad Complutense de Madrid

     Madrid, España

     
  4. [4] Centro de Estudios Hidrográficos

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• Localización: Avances de la geomorfología en España, 2010-2012: actas de la XII Reunión Nacional de Geomorfología, Santander, 17-20 septiembre de 2012 / coord. por Alberto González Díez, 2012, ISBN 978-84-86116-54-5, págs. 155-158
• Idioma: español
• Títulos paralelos:
  • A proposal for the calibration and validation of natural hazard and risk analysis and mapping through the study of recent events.
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• Resumen

  • In recent decades many analyses and maps on natural hazards and risks have been produced and published, but there are few methodological proposals that allow the analysis of the techniques and procedures that were used in the past and are nowadays applied to obtain these products. This paper proposes the use of a simple tool for the calibration and validation of hazard and risk analyses and maps: the description of the places where recent events have taken place, after completion of studies. In a simple way natural hazards are observed and analyzed, taking notes about where they have taken place; and their comparisons regarding how hazard or risk areas were categorized in cartography, drawing conclusions about the quality of the maps produced. Two different cases studies have been used to show and put into practice this methodological proposal: on one hand, a local study about mass movements’ hazard in Segovia; and, on the other hand, a regional flood risk map in Castilla-La Mancha