The Score of Conditionally Heteroskedastic Dynamic Regression Models with Student t Innovations, and an LM Test for Multivariate Normality. Versión Revisada

• Gabriele Fiorentini ^[1] ; Enrique Sentana ^[2] ; Giorgio Calzolari ^[3]
  1. [1] Universitat d'Alacant

     Universitat d'Alacant

     Alicante, España

     
  2. [2] Centro de Estudios Monetarios y Financieros

     Centro de Estudios Monetarios y Financieros

     Madrid, España

     
  3. [3] University of Florence

     University of Florence

     Firenze, Italia

     

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• Localización: Documentos de Trabajo ( CEMFI ), Nº. 7 (Working Paper No. 0007, July 2000), 2000
• Idioma: inglés
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• Resumen

  • We study the properties of mimicking portfolios in an intertemporal APT model, in which the conditional mean and covariance matrix of returns vary in an interdependent manner. We use a signal extraction approach, and relate the efficiency of (possibly) dynamic basis portfolios to mean square error minimisation. We prove that many portfolios converge to the factors as the number of assets increases, but show that the conditional Kalman filter portfolios are the ones with both minimum tracking error variability, and maximum correlation with the common factors. We also show that our conclusions are unlikely to change when using parameter estimates.