Impossible Macroeconomic Trinity: The Challenge to Economic Governance in the Eurozone

• Autores: David Vines
• Localización: Revue d'integration europeenne= Journal of european integration, ISSN 0703-6337, Vol. 37, Nº 7, 2015, págs. 861-874
• Idioma: inglés
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• Resumen

  • Europe now faces a new impossible macroeconomic trinity: it is no longer possible to combine monetary union, German political requirements and coherent economic analysis. Economic analysis shows that there must be more inflation in Germany, a significant fiscal expansion in Germany, a significant easing of austerity in the GIIPS countries and a write-down of much of the debt of southern European sovereigns. These changes will be resisted by Germany. But they are necessary if the monetary union is to survive.