Resumen de Drought variability and change across the Iberian Peninsula
Drought variability and change is assessed in this study across the Iberian Peninsula along the 20th century and the first decade of the 21st century using state of the art drought indices: the Sc-PDSI, the SPI and the SPEI. The analysis conducted in this study confirms that drought conditions are worsening for most of the Iberian Peninsula across time except in the western and in the north-western area, where a wetting trend is identified. Furthermore, the severity and duration of droughts show a remarkable increase in the south-western area, while drought magnitude is increasing significantly in the Mediterranean region strongly induced by global warming especially during the last decades. Severity, duration and magnitude of wet events do not experience significantly variations. Our results are in agreement with other studies which project this evolution to the whole 21st century. For this reason, and as a link of our study to societal needs, the application of effective water management strategies will be crucial to minimize the impact of the hydrological droughts over the Iberian Peninsula into the near future.
