Australia's east coast is lashed by huge storms called "extreme east coast lows" every 10 to 20 years. Their rarity makes them hard to predict. Meteorologists did not foresee the severity of the Jun 8, 2007 storm, for example, in which a coal ship ran aground. "Most forecasters would only see one such event during their careers, and nobody working on the forecast desk at the time had ever seen anything like it," says Stuart Browning at Macquarie University in Sydney. They collected temperature and pressure data from a handful of weather stations that have records back to the 1850s. They also studied coastal erosion to see when storm damage occurred.
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